Depression screening on imbalanced survey data
AASD4001 · Team of 51,200 respondents, 31 positive cases. The model was never the hard part.
- The random forest baseline hit 97.9 percent accuracy and caught one at-risk teenager out of six.
- Kept SMOTE strictly inside the training folds; tuned the decision threshold to 0.23 on a leakage-free F2 scan instead of accepting 0.5.
- Ablated all 14 features, then re-ran everything across 10 seeds — the spread is the result, not the best split.